Who will be the next PM if Theresa May resigns before the next election – from Jacob Rees-Mogg to Boris Johnson and Amber Rudd

But with over a third of her party wanting to boot out, she is still on treacherously thin ice. Come what May, who would replace her? Here are the latest odds.

What are the odds on the next Prime Minister?

Under parliamentary rules, the result of the vote of no confidence means Mrs May will go unchallenged by her own party for the next year.

But she has strongly hinted that she will step down before her term officially ends in 2022.

But Mrs May also seems determined that she will try to see Brexit through before resigning.

Her scrappy success means she is safe from another such challenge from her own benches for the next year.

This week, MPs will vote on Theresa May's Brexit deal, and if it doesn't pass her position will appear weak.

But the weaker-than-expected result of the vote has bolstered the likelihood of Labour going for a vote of no confidence in the government itself.

If this were to go ahead and get the required backing from other opposition parties, it could mean a snap election.

There are several possible routes out for May – and there are plenty of colleagues priming themselves for the role.

Now delegated to the back benches after quitting as foreign secretary, Boris Johnson remains a favourite to replace Theresa May in No10.

The controversial Tory has recently signalled his interest for the leadership contest, and has repeatedly refused to rule it out completely.

Home secretary Sajid Javid also seems keen to step up to the role – recently unveiling his vision of a Conservative party that reflects a "bigger picture" of social mobility.

If May had lost in the vote of no confidence it would have immediately trigger a leadership contest if she lost – but this is now off the cards.

Here are the latest odds from Ladbrokes as of January 14, 2019

Boris Johnson – 7/1

Former Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson is still a hugely popular figure among Tory grassroots and the general public.

He drew a huge crowd to hear him bash Theresa May's Brexit plans in a barnstorming speech at the Tory conference in Birmingham.

Boris quit as Foreign Secretary on July 9 in a killer blow to May's government.

He walked out just hours after she lost Brexit Secretary David Davis over her Chequers plan to keep close ties to Brussels.

But many MPs appear to have turned against him, meaning he might struggle to get on the ballot.

His aborted leadership bid in 2016 was scuppered by his friend Michael Gove, severely damaging his electoral "brand".

And his hopes could be dashed by reports of a close friendship with a blonde Tory aide and his divorce from wife Marina.

Jeremy Corbyn – 5/1

The bookies have recently been giving Jeremy Corbyn strong odds as the nation's most likely next Prime Minister.

The Labour leader has had to fight constant opposition from his own MPs including a leadership contest after just a year.

But the party has swung behind him after a much stronger than expected 2017 General Election when Labour picked up 30 seats and Mrs May lost her majority.

Although the fabled "youthquake" of support from younger voters did not happen, Labour is enjoying relatively strong support in opinion polls.

He hopes to force a general election by voting down Mrs May's Brexit deal, and has boasted he would win.

He promised to call a no-confidence motion in Theresa May’s government “soon”.

Corbyn told BBC One’s The Andrew Marr Show: "We will table a motion of no confidence in the government at a time of our choosing, but it’s going to be soon, don’t worry about that."

Sajid Javid – 7/1

The Home Secretary is the current bookies' favourite among the Conservatives.

Mr Javid was appointed Home Secretary in the wake of the Windrush scandal and the resignation of Amber Rudd.

A known Eurosceptic, Mr Javid ended up backing Remain during the EU referendum but is popular among the Tory parliamentary party.

Some of his statements in recent months and his backing for a harder Brexit have been taken as signs he is pitching for the leadership.

The MP for Bromsgrove in Worcestershire is a former managing director from Deutsche Bank.

Dominic Raab – 8/1

The former Brexit secretary quit the cabinet in protest over Theresa May's soft divorce deal with the EU.

He played a prominent role in the Leave campaign and previously served as a Justice minister.

Before he went into politics he was a lawyer, working on EU and World Trade Organisation Law.

His appointment was welcomed by Leave-backing MPs.

But his former personal assistant branded him a bullying Mr Nasty after she was sacked for leading a double life as an escort.

Jeremy Hunt – 10/1

Mr Hunt was the longest-serving Health Secretary in British history before replacing Boris as Foreign Secretary.

He left the Department of Health after securing a £20bn funding increase for the NHS.

Mr Hunt is known to have leadership aspirations and now says he backs Brexit despite campaigning for Remain during the referendum.

Amber Rudd – 20/1

Ms Rudd has managed to stay in favour with Mrs May, taking the buck for the Windrush scandal and stepping down as Home Secretary – before months later returning to the cabinet and Work and Pensions chief in November.

The 55-year-old Hastings MP has voiced support for the PM and for her botched Brexit deal, but insiders think she's savvy enough to manoeuvre a bid to the top when she's ready.

One concern though would be her slim majority in her constituency of Hastings and Rye, which was slimmed down after the 207 vote to just 346 votes.

In contrast, Mrs May enjoys a 26,457 majority in her constituency of Maidenhead, that has stood behind her over more than two decades.

David Davis – 33/1

David Davis quit as Brexit secretary on July 8, 2018, with a devastating letter warning Mrs May her proposal would leave the UK in "a weak negotiating position" with Brussels.

He has since launched a series of attacks on Mrs May's strategy, and led a Tory rebellion to ditch the Chequers plan.

He called on Cabinet ministers to rise up and kill off the plans.

Furious Tories have demanded Mr Davis be installed as interim leader to save true Brexit.

Jacob Rees-Mogg – 20/1

Jacob Rees-Mogg, the Latin-fluent millionaire financier and MP for North East Somerset, has emerged as the leading Brexiteer on the backbenches.

He has won a huge public profile despite not being a minister and is loved by Tory activists.

Rees-Mogg has also garnered a surprise following among many young Tories – including Jungle Queen Georgia Toffolo, who called him "a sex god".

Devout Catholic Rees-Mogg has made no secret of his socially conservative views, including being anti-abortion and against gay marriage.

His plummy tones, double-breasted suits and traditional manner have earned him the nickname "The Honourable Member for the Nineteenth Century".

Michael Gove – 14/1

The Environment Secretary has achieved a remarkable turnaround since knifing Boris Johnson during the 2016 leadership contest.

His support among party members dropped through the floor and it seemed his chances were gone for ever.

But Mr Gove, who led the Leave campaign in the EU referendum, has rebranded himself as an ecowarrior as Environment Secretary.

He has also thrown his full support behind Theresa May's Brexit plan, winning him friends among MPs if not the party faithful.

Andrea Leadsom – 33/1

Though an unlikely candidate at the time, the Brexit campaigner reached the final two of the 2016 leadership contest.

She withdrew over ill-judged remarks about Theresa May not being a mother.

She is now Leader of the House, and survived in post despite reports Mrs May was planning to cut "dead wood" in her January reshuffle.

Mrs Leadsom had a role in the downfall of Sir Michael Fallon after she accused him of lewd sexual comments.

Ruth Davidson 100/1

The popular and savvy leader of the Scottish Conservatives has been touted as the potential saviour of the Tories in Westminster.

But Ruth has said repeatedly she wants to focus on Scotland and as she is not an MP she currently is not eligible to stand as leader of the UK party.

In September 2018 she declared she never wants to be Prime Minister.

She will also be putting politics on the back burner for a while as she has just had a baby.

What happens if Theresa May resigns?

Another way for a PM to resign would be to lose a vote of confidence in the Commons, leading to the government falling.

In that scenario there could well be a fresh General Election, with both major parties trying to secure a parliamentary majority.

We pay for your stories! Do you have a story for The Sun Online news team? Email us at [email protected] or call 0207 782 4368 . We pay for videos too. Click here to upload yours


Source: Read Full Article